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ECB raises rates for first time since 2023 as Iran war fuels inflation

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The European Central Bank lifted its three key rates by 25 basis points — its first increase since 2023 — to counter inflation pressures from the US-Iran war, taking the deposit rate to 2.25%.

By Super Admin
June 16, 20261 Minute Read
ECB raises rates for first time since 2023 as Iran war fuels inflation

The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, its first increase since 2023, in a move to ward off inflationary pressures generated by the US-Iran war.

Effective 17 June 2026, the deposit facility rate rises to 2.25%, the main refinancing rate to 2.40% and the marginal lending rate to 2.65%.

Inflation pressure

Euro area inflation accelerated to 3.2% in May, well above the ECB's 2% target, while core inflation rose to 2.5% from 2.2% in April. The Governing Council said the rate decision was "robust across a range of scenarios" mapping how the energy shock might evolve.

Growth trimmed

New Eurosystem staff projections see headline inflation averaging 3.0% in 2026, 2.3% in 2027 and 2.0% in 2028. The ECB slightly lowered its GDP forecasts, to 0.8% in 2026 (from 0.9%) and 1.2% in 2027 (from 1.3%).

Sources: European Central Bank, CNBC, Euronews.

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